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The Infamous Monty Hall Problem

It’s confused the cognoscenti,
For the logic is a bitch!
When Monty makes the offer,
Should you stay or should you switch?
In this hard-to-crack conundrum
Lies the beauty of the game.
When a “zonk” has been uncovered,
Can the odds remain the same?
You may think they’re fifty-fifty,
But your chance is still a third,
For of both remaining options,
Monty always shows the turd!
Though the laws of probability
May have your noggin spinning,
You should take the proffered offer
To increase your chance of winning.
Or adopt this simple system
If it baffles your cognition.
If you’re ever on a game show,
Use your counter-intuition!

montyhall

 

One Comment

  1. Steve wrote:

    Loved this one!

    Monday, October 4, 2010 at 6:31 am | Permalink

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